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Malarkey   13 Jun 2022, 6:04 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 5:58 pm)omnicity4659 wrote Councils. Probably taken from budgets for maintaining the very roads that these buses will be running on.

Looks that way, I have amended my original post which documents Nexus's response to the bailout.
busmanT   13 Jun 2022, 7:12 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 1:22 pm)ASX_Terranova wrote How long will it take for the changes to be finalised and for GNE to put it on their website?
I don't think that Nexus tenders have been awarded yet (or they might be in the 10 days standstill period), and the closing date for the Durham tenders isn't until towards the end of the month.
Ambassador   13 Jun 2022, 7:24 pm
I imagine it’s come from the 3 councils, despite their constant rate rises Gateshead has sizeable reserves it could call on.

I do think there should be something enshrined that if you abandon a commercial operation you are barred from bidding or must meet strict caveats when it comes up to tender.

Wistfully stuck in the 90s
Dan   13 Jun 2022, 7:30 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 7:24 pm)Ambassador wrote I do think there should be something enshrined that if you abandon a commercial operation you are barred from bidding or must meet strict caveats when it comes up to tender.

I know this comment has been made a couple of times now and I'm just picking your post to quote because it's the most recent, but it would be absolutely ludicrous to suggest this, if the winning bid from the previous commercial operator is the one which is cheapest/represents best value - or are we all an advocate of taxpayers forking out even more money than they need to, to keep these services running, where the commercial operator has 'abandoned' them?

In a similar vein, should SME operators who only run contracted bus services and never take a punt on running a commercial bus service (the likes of your Gateshead Central Taxis, A-line Coaches, etc) be penalised because the only gaps in the market that they exploit are those funded by the taxpayer?
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L469 YVK   13 Jun 2022, 7:36 pm
I doubt the 47 & X45 will be a 'flat' 15 minute combined frequency unless GNE want a higher PVR and longer layovers? The most efficient interworking pattern will be X45/X71/X72 with the 47 standalone and also the X30/X31 standalone. At best, the combined frequency would be something like a 10/20 split or a 12-13 / 17-18 split with the times of the X71/X72 also taken into account. Again, I could be wrong if GNE have other plans?
Unber43   13 Jun 2022, 7:41 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 7:36 pm)L469 YVK wrote I doubt the 47 & X45 will be a 'flat' 15 minute combined frequency unless GNE want a higher PVR and longer layovers? The most efficient interworking pattern will be X45/X71/X72 with the 47 standalone and also the X30/X31 standalone. At best, the combined frequency would be something like a 10/20 split or a 12-13 / 17-18 split with the times of the X71/X72 also taken into account. Again, I could be wrong if GNE have other plans?
Wait are the 47 being upgraded to Streetdecks?
L469 YVK   13 Jun 2022, 7:55 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 7:41 pm)Unber43 wrote Wait are the 47 being upgraded to Streetdecks?
I doubt it unless GNE are wanting to dilute the 'XLines' brand? Would most likely be B5TLs off the X21 with 8x StreetDecks (+ 1x 67 plate) going the other way. That would keep all the XLines decker routes 69 plate or newer with passengers on the X21 also getting a few 'extras' thrown in too.

Now the next bit I'm putting across from a commercial point of view and not an enthusiasts (i.e engines, reliability etc).

Depending on interworking patterns, if the X30/X31 are standalone with the evening & Sunday X30/X72 taken care off by Riverside (unless there's something else that could interwork with the evening & Sunday 6 & 12), StreetDecks would be the best option for the X45/X71/X72 if the 16B/47/X5/X45 are interworked on evenings & Sundays due to their commercially sensitive nature (with a small number of E400MMC thrown in to allow planned downtime). That would then see 9x E400MMC going on the X21 (with B5TLs for the 47) with 5x E400MMC remaining at Consett (3x for X30/X31 & 2x spare).

The big point is that StreetDecks would be better suited to more commercially sensitive work (Sunday 16B, X5 etc) and are more fuel efficient in most cases. Likewise, StreetLites would be far more appropriate capacity and efficiency wise for the evening & Sunday X30/X72.
F114TML   13 Jun 2022, 7:58 pm
Why would putting streetdecks on the 47 dilute the Xlines brand?
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Unber43   13 Jun 2022, 8:01 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 7:58 pm)F114TML wrote Why would putting streetdecks on the 47 dilute the Xlines brand?
Thats what I was thinking, just because you put new buses on a route, doesn't dilute the Xline Brand.
Adrian   13 Jun 2022, 8:10 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 7:24 pm)Ambassador wrote I imagine it’s come from the 3 councils, despite their constant rate rises Gateshead has sizeable reserves it could call on.

I do think there should be something enshrined that if you abandon a commercial operation you are barred from bidding or must meet strict caveats when it comes up to tender.

I imagine the other North East Councils are the same, but using reserves to pay for services on an ongoing basis is extremely bad practice.

I've not followed the meetings for a couple of months, but JTC agreed back in Nov/Dec time that councils would be asked to increase their transport levy. Maybe that has now happened.

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L469 YVK   13 Jun 2022, 8:13 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 8:01 pm)Unber43 wrote Thats what I was thinking, just because you put new buses on a route, doesn't dilute the Xline Brand.
Simple reason is that although the 47 will run 'non-stop' like the X45 between the MetroCente and Newcastle, the X45 (unless the X71 is taken into account) will still be the 'flagship' route and the quickest from Consett taking into account frequency.
Andreos1   13 Jun 2022, 8:25 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 7:30 pm)Dan wrote I know this comment has been made a couple of times now and I'm just picking your post to quote because it's the most recent, but it would be absolutely ludicrous to suggest this, if the winning bid from the previous commercial operator is the one which is cheapest/represents best value - or are we all an advocate of taxpayers forking out even more money than they need to, to keep these services running, where the commercial operator has 'abandoned' them?

In a similar vein, should SME operators who only run contracted bus services and never take a punt on running a commercial bus service (the likes of your Gateshead Central Taxis, A-line Coaches, etc) be penalised because the only gaps in the market that they exploit are those funded by the taxpayer?
Between you and me, the best value option for the taxpayer, is the commercial operator.

'Illegitimis non carborundum'
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Dan   13 Jun 2022, 8:33 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 8:25 pm)Andreos1 wrote Between you and me, the best value option for the taxpayer, is the commercial operator.

And whilst that was the most predictable response, clearly that doesn't seem to be an option in today's market as we've seen from all three of the major operators in recent months (some more than others)...

If the stance from the commercial operator is that they can no longer run some of their commercial bus services and the local authority does step in to save them, the options they have are that the cheapest/best value price wins the contract (as per standard tender protocol), or that in some cases, they will purposely choose a more expensive price to exclude the incumbent from winning that contract (unheard of, but it would keep members of this forum happy).

I know which gets my vote, even if in some cases it will result in the incumbent no longer running that same service...
stagecoachbusdepot   13 Jun 2022, 10:37 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 8:33 pm)Dan wrote And whilst that was the most predictable response, clearly that doesn't seem to be an option in today's market as we've seen from all three of the major operators in recent months (some more than others)...

If the stance from the commercial operator is that they can no longer run some of their commercial bus services and the local authority does step in to save them, the options they have are that the cheapest/best value price wins the contract (as per standard tender protocol), or that in some cases, they will purposely choose a more expensive price to exclude the incumbent from winning that contract (unheard of, but it would keep members of this forum happy).

I know which gets my vote, even if in some cases it will result in the incumbent no longer running that same service...

Except it is not such a polarised choice. There is a perfectly sensible solution which has been described on here not so long ago, whereby if the previous commercial operator doesn't want to take the commercial risk, but wants to bid for an identical tendered service, then this should be on the basis of a block payment with all fare revenue retained by the funding authority.  Any profits made could then be reinvested into other public services, or further secured services, and not simply line shareholders pockets.  I'm not sure there's any legal way in which an incumbent could be prevented from bidding, or that it would be in anyone's interest to do so as you point out they may ultimately submitted the best VFM tender.

To be honest while we have the current basketcase system whereby an operator can cancel any borderline service then submit a low tender to operate basically the same service, collecting the same level of fares as before, but now plus the shiny extra bit of dosh they get from their tender, why would any operator show any social responsibility and not rinse the taxpayer.
Storx   13 Jun 2022, 11:29 pm
(13 Jun 2022, 10:37 pm)stagecoachbusdepot wrote Except it is not such a polarised choice.  There is a perfectly sensible solution which has been described on here not so long ago, whereby if the previous commercial operator doesn't want to take the commercial risk, but wants to bid for an identical tendered service, then this should be on the basis of a block payment with all fare revenue retained by the funding authority.  Any profits made could then be reinvested into other public services, or further secured services, and not simply line shareholders pockets.  I'm not sure there's any legal way in which an incumbent could be prevented from bidding, or that it would be in anyone's interest to do so as you point out they may ultimately submitted the best VFM tender.

To be honest while we have the current basketcase system whereby an operator can cancel any borderline service then submit a low tender to operate basically the same service, collecting the same level of fares as before, but now plus the shiny extra bit of dosh they get from their tender, why would any operator show any social responsibility and not rinse the taxpayer.

Not sure I agree there. Personally I think all tenders should consider fares in them as it promotes growth and the operator who gets them actually wants to run the service as if they don't then they will be a loss.

Giving block payments just leads to a scenario like GCT running services to the bare minimum without them marketing them at all so long term it costs the tax payer more. 

There's been some good moves lately because of this in particular the 317, 62 extension and the Tyne Tunnel services which Stagecoach are actively promoting. I could imaging some of the smaller independents would do similar Stanley and Weardale in particular who have pride in their fleets. 

For services like GNE though then they should work together and the maximum tender should be the loss for that service for the year and if they agree to that it doesn't go out to tender. If the year goes well they make a profit, if not the tax payer doesn't lose out and they take an element of risk and it's adjusted accordingly every year. It's the best scenario for both ignoring the moral element.
DeltaMan   14 Jun 2022, 6:02 am
(13 Jun 2022, 10:37 pm)stagecoachbusdepot wrote Except it is not such a polarised choice.  There is a perfectly sensible solution which has been described on here not so long ago, whereby if the previous commercial operator doesn't want to take the commercial risk, but wants to bid for an identical tendered service, then this should be on the basis of a block payment with all fare revenue retained by the funding authority.  Any profits made could then be reinvested into other public services, or further secured services, and not simply line shareholders pockets.  I'm not sure there's any legal way in which an incumbent could be prevented from bidding, or that it would be in anyone's interest to do so as you point out they may ultimately submitted the best VFM tender.

To be honest while we have the current basketcase system whereby an operator can cancel any borderline service then submit a low tender to operate basically the same service, collecting the same level of fares as before, but now plus the shiny extra bit of dosh they get from their tender, why would any operator show any social responsibility and not rinse the taxpayer.
I'd be intrested to know if you had the same opinion of Spirit Buses when they gave up thier commercial routes?
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busmanT   14 Jun 2022, 7:13 am
We ought to be grateful that the local authorities have found extra money to provide replacement services for the passengers affected, even if those services might not be the same as the current ones.
The current pattern clearly doesn't work in many cases.

If the explanation of the new 39B extending to Washington given on here is correct, GNE are expanding at the same time as contracting.
It also looks from the registrations like Nexus are funding the extension of the Q3 back to Wallsend, no doubt following political pressure. The Stagecoach 18 used to run between Walker and Wallsend, funded by Nexus, prior to the Q3 originally being extended.

No-one seems to worry about Stagecoach ceasing commercial operation of the 18, 32/A & 35 in Newcastle and then getting paid by Nexus to keep running them.
Indeed almost all of the Stagecoach expansion in recent times has been funded by Nexus - cross Tyne 10/11 and 317.
Rob44   14 Jun 2022, 7:17 am
Operator cancel route - nexus put out tender-same operator wins tender- better service provided by nexus with earlier bus and later buses- route start making money- operator rubs hands and takes on a commercially-customers top using-operator cancels route

and repeat
Dan   14 Jun 2022, 7:29 am
(14 Jun 2022, 7:13 am)busmanT wrote No-one seems to worry about Stagecoach ceasing commercial operation of the 18, 32/A & 35 in Newcastle and then getting paid by Nexus to keep running them.
Indeed almost all of the Stagecoach expansion in recent times has been funded by Nexus - cross Tyne 10/11 and 317.

You're not sticking to the script, busmanT! Stagecoach's withdrawal of commercial bus services and retention of these services under contract to Nexus/winning other operators' contracts is them finding gaps in the market, not getting paid to run a bus service on behalf of the local authority!
Adrian   14 Jun 2022, 8:10 am
There's also the argument, that operators such as Gateshead Central, run their bus division 100% on contracts and subsidies.

There's no redistribution of their profit into trying to run any commercial services, yet theres nothing stopping them.

As much as I dislike the current model of the public sector being left to pick up the pieces, I don't think banning operators from bidding is the answer, nor will it achieve value for money for the local authority and the customer base.

I do however think that there needs to be recognition that the current model is unsustainable. Without going down the route of franchising, the funding available is going to be finite. Yet the danger of Arriva and Stagecoach seeing Nexus pick up the pieces big time here, is likely to make them want a slice of that pie themselves. This could very quickly become a vicious circle.

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Rob44   14 Jun 2022, 8:58 am
(14 Jun 2022, 8:10 am)Adrian wrote There's also the argument, that operators such as Gateshead Central, run their bus division 100% on contracts and subsidies.

There's no redistribution of their profit into trying to run any commercial services, yet theres nothing stopping them.

As much as I dislike the current model of the public sector being left to pick up the pieces, I don't think banning operators from bidding is the answer, nor will it achieve value for money for the local authority and the customer base.

I do however think that there needs to be recognition that the current model is unsustainable. Without going down the route of franchising, the funding available is going to be finite. Yet the danger of Arriva and Stagecoach seeing Nexus pick up the pieces big time here, is likely to make them want a slice of that pie themselves. This could very quickly become a vicious circle.

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The main thing stopping GCT running commercial in gateshead in GNE.  I'm sure you've heard of bargain bus!
Dan   14 Jun 2022, 9:10 am
(14 Jun 2022, 8:58 am)Rob44 wrote The main thing stopping GCT running commercial in gateshead in GNE.  I'm sure you've heard of bargain bus!

Don't be daft...

We have seen other operators, Stagecoach in particular, launch competing services with Go North East which don't receive funding, and Go North East's response if anything has been to reduce their own service offering. Even small changes in Sunderland like the Stagecoach 20 in Pennywell has seen Go North East convert the operation of service 39 from a full-size single-deck to a minibus.

I don't think any operators are as 'territorial' as they perhaps once were.

Gateshead Central are more than welcome to set up their own commercial services, either competing with Go North East (or any other operator for that matter) or by exploting a gap in the market - but they don't.
Michael   14 Jun 2022, 9:10 am
(14 Jun 2022, 7:13 am)busmanT wrote We ought to be grateful that the local authorities have found extra money to provide replacement services for the passengers affected, even if those services might not be the same as the current ones.
The current pattern clearly doesn't work in many cases.

If the explanation of the new 39B extending to Washington given on here is correct, GNE are expanding at the same time as contracting.

It also looks from the registrations like Nexus are funding the extension of the Q3 back to Wallsend, no doubt following political pressure. The Stagecoach 18 used to run between Walker and Wallsend, funded by Nexus, prior to the Q3 originally being extended.

No-one seems to worry about Stagecoach ceasing commercial operation of the 18, 32/A & 35 in Newcastle and then getting paid by Nexus to keep running them.
Indeed almost all of the Stagecoach expansion in recent times has been funded by Nexus - cross Tyne 10/11 and 317.

Hopefully it would make sense to do it that way although, it'll be a long route and will probable's need bigger buses.

Looks like: (although some area's could be the wrong way around)

39: Pennywell - Sunderland - Doxford International - Houghton-Le-Spring - Hourly
39A: Pennywell - Sunderland - Doxford International - Hourly (current route)
39B: Pennywell - Sunderland - Tunstall Bank - Doxford Park - Doxford International - East Herrington - Shiney Row - Biddick Woods - Washington - Hourly


Combined service of every 20 minutes on the common section - Pennywell to Doxford?


39 PVR - 2
39A PVR - 2
39B PVR - 2

Combined PVR - 8


Probs have worked it out wrong

Ooo Friend, Bus Friend.
Andreos1   14 Jun 2022, 9:15 am
(14 Jun 2022, 7:29 am)Dan wrote You're not sticking to the script, busmanT! Stagecoach's withdrawal of commercial bus services and retention of these services under contract to Nexus/ winning other operators' contracts is them finding gaps in the market , not getting paid to run a bus service on behalf of the local authority!
Exploiting gaps surely?

'Illegitimis non carborundum'
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Rob44   14 Jun 2022, 9:16 am
(14 Jun 2022, 9:10 am)Dan wrote Don't be daft...

We have seen other operators, Stagecoach in particular, launch competing services with Go North East which don't receive funding, and Go North East's response if anything has been to reduce their own service offering. Even small changes in Sunderland like the Stagecoach 20 in Pennywell has seen Go North East convert the operation of service 39 from a full-size single-deck to a minibus.

I don't think any operators are as 'territorial' as they perhaps once were.

Gateshead Central are more than welcome to set up their own commercial services, either competing with Go North East (or any other operator for that matter) or by exploting a gap in the market - but they don't.

Ok, maybe this is in the past but i believe I asked on another thread....  Say GCT gets the 29 in its current form and the timetable is timed so it leaves just in front of the 53/54 to saltwell park or A-Line run the 28 in its current form and it leaves gateshead just before the 56/57 to qe and wrekenton.. are you saying GNE would be happy to "work with" these services even if it ment fare paying passengers to use a rival, all be it a secured service?
Aaron21   14 Jun 2022, 9:19 am
Q3 has been registered on VOSA to run back to Wallsend


.jpg
Screenshot_20220614-101636_Facebook.jpg (Size 374.56 KB Downloads 23)
Andreos1   14 Jun 2022, 9:47 am
(14 Jun 2022, 9:16 am)Rob44 wrote Ok, maybe this is in the past but i believe I asked on another thread....  Say GCT gets the 29 in its current form and the timetable is timed so it leaves just in front of the 53/54 to saltwell park or A-Line run the 28 in its current form and it leaves gateshead just before the 56/57 to qe and wrekenton.. are you saying GNE would be happy to "work with" these services even if it ment fare paying passengers to use a rival, all be it a secured service?
There's many an example of GNE of saying there's not enough money in it for them, running under subsidy and then suddenly finding out it is viable when a competitor wins the contract.

'Illegitimis non carborundum'
stagecoachbusdepot   14 Jun 2022, 10:55 am
(14 Jun 2022, 6:02 am)DeltaMan wrote I'd be intrested to know if you had the same opinion of Spirit Buses when they gave up thier commercial routes?

I'm not familiar with Spirit Buses so can't comment.

(14 Jun 2022, 7:13 am)busmanT wrote No-one seems to worry about Stagecoach ceasing commercial operation of the 18, 32/A & 35 in Newcastle and then getting paid by Nexus to keep running them.
Indeed almost all of the Stagecoach expansion in recent times has been funded by Nexus - cross Tyne 10/11 and 317.

It makes no difference who the operator is, it is the model that is rotten.  It does appear however to be a particular tactic of GNE at present however to milk the system dry given the sheer number of cancellations etc as compared to the relatively limited scale of other operator's cuts, backed up with a consultation that has drawn pretty strong criticism across the board - intended to pressure the taxpayer funding to secure the routes.

(14 Jun 2022, 8:10 am)Adrian wrote I do however think that there needs to be recognition that the current model is unsustainable. Without going down the route of franchising, the funding available is going to be finite. Yet the danger of Arriva and Stagecoach seeing Nexus pick up the pieces big time here, is likely to make them want a slice of that pie themselves. This could very quickly become a vicious circle.

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And this is the root of the problem.  Operator not making enough profit, cancel services, win back said services with a whack of taxpayer cash, supposedly use this cash to "grow" the services - supposedly we then see services become commercially viable again though when has this ever happened, regardless of operator.  As I said in my previous post, there's no reason (other than social and moral responsibility) for an operator to do anything other than offer up lower revenue routes, knowing they will likely win them back with a helping of extra cash to add to the coffers.  The system is rotten, and the private operators are capitalising on it (some more than others).
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Andreos1   14 Jun 2022, 1:26 pm
(14 Jun 2022, 10:55 am)stagecoachbusdepot wrote I'm not familiar with Spirit Buses so can't comment.


It makes no difference who the operator is, it is the model that is rotten.  It does appear however to be a particular tactic of GNE at present however to milk the system dry given the sheer number of cancellations etc as compared to the relatively limited scale of other operator's cuts, backed up with a consultation that has drawn pretty strong criticism across the board - intended to pressure the taxpayer funding to secure the routes.


And this is the root of the problem.  Operator not making enough profit, cancel services, win back said services with a whack of taxpayer cash, supposedly use this cash to "grow" the services - supposedly we then see services become commercially viable again though when has this ever happened, regardless of operator.  As I said in my previous post, there's no reason (other than social and moral responsibility) for an operator to do anything other than offer up lower revenue routes, knowing they will likely win them back with a helping of extra cash to add to the coffers.  The system is rotten, and the private operators are capitalising on it (some more than others).
There's some good points in here, but the key to it all is the commercial team.
Why aren't they working on new opportunities? Why aren't they identifying new routes? Why aren't they looking at the changing travel patterns we keep hearing about and changing the routes, rather than culling them?

(14 Jun 2022, 8:10 am)Adrian wrote There's also the argument, that operators such as Gateshead Central, run their bus division 100% on contracts and subsidies.

There's no redistribution of their profit into trying to run any commercial services, yet theres nothing stopping them.

As much as I dislike the current model of the public sector being left to pick up the pieces, I don't think banning operators from bidding is the answer, nor will it achieve value for money for the local authority and the customer base.

I do however think that there needs to be recognition that the current model is unsustainable. Without going down the route of franchising, the funding available is going to be finite. Yet the danger of Arriva and Stagecoach seeing Nexus pick up the pieces big time here, is likely to make them want a slice of that pie themselves. This could very quickly become a vicious circle.

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I'd not blame them if they tried to be honest. Might as well join the race to the bottom whilst holding out their begging bowl like GNE are!

Don't drop it on the way though! There's gonna be another operator sniffing about looking for that loose change.

'Illegitimis non carborundum'
Drifter60   14 Jun 2022, 2:17 pm
East Durham area changes; the 62A and the one journey each way X62 will remain, both under tender by DCC. Can’t see anyone other then GNE going for the 62A, hopefully DCC renumber it the 208 again otherwise there’ll be a 62A and no 62!
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