(20 Nov 2023, 11:17 am)mb134 wrote Any reason the Morpeth station only has the inner circle on this graphic?
If looking only at the inner circle of both the Ashington and Bedlington Station stations, then the impact doesn't look anywhere near the same.
Not sure either of the other examples stack up really, either. Yes the Morpeth express services serve other places afterwards, but the Ashington ones serve other places in the middle (Cramlington Industrial Estates, Nedderton, Bedlington, Choppington, Guide Post, Stakeford, Wansbeck Hospital, and also Newbiggin). Having witnessed the Morpeth express services daily for over a year, it's clear that they do very well on that section in particular where they are competing with the train. Buses will drop off and pick up a considerable amount through Morpeth throughout the peaks.
Same with CLS, if you slap your circles onto that station, I'd bet it would overlap with the 21/X21 route - yet they both do very well in CL
Me being lazy with Morpeth.
See I think it's really hard to compare Morpeth and Ashington as Morpeth station is no-where near the centre so isn't really an option to travel there unless you like a long run and is a place people want to go compared to Ashington which is on the high street but not a place many people want to go. Not to mention the Morpeth services are literally non-stop and the train service is less frequent and CLS is currently every 2 hours, and also completely non-stop.
The X22 will still be fine imo as most the route isn't impacted, it's the X21 I have more doubts about, at 3 BPH, in particular. If there's a 15% movement across, it's pretty likely most of it is going to be the X21 passengers.
There's not really any stations in the North East to really compare against, it could go either way really where everyone moves to the train or where no-one at all moves the train. Just have to wait and see but I'm on the side of that a lot of people will move across personally as long as the ticketing is part of the TNE tickets or competitive.