RE: Go North East - Future Order Predictions
(14 Aug 2020, 9:40 pm)Adtrainsam wrote I agree with Storx, apart from 11 E200 MMCs, we're getting 36 - 37 brand new double deckers, so after all of them are delivered, there's really no need for any more double deckers. I can see some more full size single deckers in the future, most likely Enviros for service 4 or even for X20 with 672 - 678 transferred back to Percy Main for Little Coasters routes.
Given the financial situation, I would prefer if some of the buses were just refurbished, similar to what they've just done to the Venture brand i.e new livery, cab door and cove panel information. It's badly needed on the Streetlites with those large and bare cove panels. It would really brighten them up and is much cheaper than buying new buses. Maybe some of the older Streetlites/ Versa's may recieve a full refurb with USB etc. but I really don't think GNE will be splashing the cash on new buses for a while now.
Personally if I was going to guess stuff, I'd have a bet on the 5 and 50 as they've just upgraded the Scania's to Euro 6 and I can't see whoever funded them being happy with them being replaced with Streetlites or another handdown. At the same time I can't see the Scania's being on there in 2025 neither when they're 19 year old especially when there's problem with parts already.
Then there's the problem that the X6 and X7 don't have any buses atm and don't have any planned for it neither, I don't believe, so definitely an oppurtunity there so imagine that some investment will go there.
That's my guess though but agree on refurbishments there's quite a lot of the fleet which are realistically past a half life refurbishment age now (Versa's and some Solo's in particular).
streetdeckfan wroteI can't really see them replacing the minibuses any time soon, even the oldest one is only 11 years old. If they were, the only ones I could see them replacing are the older style Solos, and there's only a few of them
If I'm right minibuses traditionally only have a depreciation and life expectancy of 12 years, it could even be 10 - I'm not 100% sure on that but it's definitely not 15 so 698 - 704 are already pretty much there espeically in 2022. Then there's the missing X6/X7 solos and the issue with contracts wanting newer buses (not sure what the age is though) if they end up winning back the W1, W2, W3, 335, Washington Locals etc or whatever routes they've currently lost.
Mini - 10 Year or 12 Year
Midi - 12 Year
Fullsize / Decker - 15 Year
I believe anyway.