(11 Jul 2020, 3:47 pm)Andreos1 wrote Interesting you mention the train. I think storx did the other day and I shared my thoughts/opinions on the train vs X9/10 vs Eldon Square.
We got the train up the coast today. I'd say more than usual boarded at Stockton and Billingham. When we got to Horden, I was genuinely amazed at the numbers on both platforms.
Some got off at Seaham but the majority remained until Newcastle.
There were a mixture of families and groups.
Myself and MrsC got change from £20 for a 2 leg return (appreciate there's the railcard weve already bought). We wouldn't have done with two Explorer tickets.
One of the sets was a refurbished 158, the other was a DDA compliant 156.
Quicker journey than an ANE bus to Boro and then changing to the X9/10. Cheaper too.
Would a coach be enough to change our travel arrangements? Not sure it would.
Would the other groups and families change their mode of transport? Genuinely don't know, but it would be interesting to see what the impact will br once the train frequency kicks in - or will the introduction of the coaches have an impact on the train?
Oxford said that the increase in train services via Bicester in to Marylebone had an impact on the X90.
This is part of my worry too. Obviously the introduction of the interdecks is a huge improvement over the current offering both in terms of ride quality and you'd think reliability too - however I'm not sure if this is possibly coming too late in the day.
People who have been using the X9/X10 for years with no other convenient option suddenly now have a better train link, which to many will always be seen as more reliable than a bus (alongside the other benefits of speed and, versus a B5, ride comfort). You then have the current situation in which many office workers, as well as others who can work from home, may never return to their workplace should their employer deem working from home sufficient.
Add to that what has been discussed briefly - how many passengers will be lost by not serving Eldon Square? I don't imagine it would be any more than a handful, but people who "turn up and go" would look at the departure board in Eldon Square and only see the X12 as an option to get to Middlesbrough.
This issue of increasing rail provisions is something that will impact upon more than just the X9/X10 in the next few years though. As another example, the long awaited reopening of the Ashington, Blyth and Tyne line is mooted for 2023 - you'd like to think that Arriva get back to "pre-Covid" numbers by that point but if they aren't close to that then I'd worry about the passenger numbers there too.
I'm by absolutely no means saying that the X9/X10 is dead, simply that due to a number of factors I don't think it'll get back to consistently high passenger numbers for a while in comparison to other routes. The interdecks being about 3 years too late, coupled with Covid-19, the Horden station opening and not being able to terminate in Eldon Square, is a fairly hefty combination of challenges to overcome. I, and I'm sure everyone on this board, hope GNE manage to navigate it all but it will most definitely be interesting to see how the situation develops.