RE: Go North East - Future Order Predictions
(07 Apr 2021, 4:58 pm)Malarkey wrote 16 Alexander Dennis Enviro 400XLB - Angel 21
My thought process for this would be for the 21 to remain at Every 10 Minutes and with Retail etc reopening next week then their is going to be more passengers getting on the across the route and pre-covid you would often see 2 buses together due how unpredictable loading can be on this particular service at certain times of the day, therefore the extra capacity these vehicles provide would be beneficial in the long term.
The 16 Streetdecks currently allocated to the "Angel 21" would then move to Riverside for the Tyne Valley Ten with the Volvo B9's moving into a spare role to replace some of the Scania N94UD Omnidekka's which would then be withdrawn from service and sold.
14 - Alexander Dennis Enviro 400ER - Citylink 57/58
Would replace the temporary allocation of "Toon Link" Volvo B9TL Wright Gemini 2's on the 58 to move into a spare role again replacing more Scania N94UD's and for the Mercedes Citaro 0530N's on the 57 to be withdrawn from service.
20 - Yutong E12's - 33N/X66 & Quaylink Q1/Q2
Wright Streetlite DF's would then move to Deptford to replace 3 Mercedes Citaro 0530N's, Optare Versa's move into a spare role allowing for withdrawal 09 Plate Versa's.
I cannot see anyone considering something the size of XLBs, until they know what the passenger numbers are likely to return to once social distancing etc is dropped. Lothian paid about £11.3m for 42, so around 270k per bus.
The 21 is only really full out of Durham or Newcastle during peak times, but some of the largest employers in Durham City have most of their staff working from home for the foreseeable.
There's also the issue of Eldon Square bus station. The X9/X10 don't serve it, presumably due to the size, and the XLBs are the same length.
As I said in the other thread, I think Quaylink would be a good contender for the latest funding available, if they can do something with the cash-strapped Nexus. I really cannot see any great expense being poured into the X66 though. You'll recall that even when the Streetlites were ordered a good few years ago now, they still cut costs on them by down-speccing them on what was the standard at the time.